Trade Ideas

Why JPY Is No Longer a Good Funding Currency in 2025: The Case for CHF

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For years, the Japanese yen (JPY) has been a preferred funding currency in carry trades due to its ultra-low interest rates and stability. However, 2025 presents a drastically different environment. The shift in global monetary policies, and Japan’s evolving economic conditions have weakened the appeal of JPY as a funding currency. At the same time, […]

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EUR/USD, Tariffs, and Market Reactions: Why I’m Neutral for Now

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How EUR/USD Has Reacted to Tariff Announcements and Why I’m Neutral for Now The foreign exchange market is an intricate web of reactions, expectations, and recalibrations, especially when it comes to major currency pairs like EUR/USD. Over the past few tariff announcements, we’ve observed a pattern: the U.S. dollar spikes initially, only to fade as

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GBP – BOE Dovish view, Go short GBPUSD

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In a notable shift towards a more dovish monetary policy, the Bank of England (BoE) recently reduced its base interest rate by 0.25 percentage points, bringing it down to 4.5%. This decision, marking the third rate cut in six months, reflects the BoE’s growing concerns over the UK’s economic slowdown and its commitment to stimulating

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The Curious Case of GBP

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Journey of GBP in 2024 Much of 2024 saw GBP emerge as the second-best performing currency after USD. The UK’s economic growth was robust, outpacing the EU’s performance, and the British pound benefited significantly from its carry trade advantage. As a trader, I found this environment highly conducive for shorting EURGBP during upward spikes, consistently

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Fundamental view on EUR and CHF currencies

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Two central bank (ECB, SNB) rate decisions and forward views are going to be published on 12th December. Regardless of the forward statements tomorrow I think Euro economy is weak and there are political uncertainties in France and Germany and the Swiss economy being dependent on Euro, we have seen weakness in the Swiss economy

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