It has been a while since I last wrote a blog post. Time moves fast in the financial markets, and so much has changed since my last update. As I navigate through these dynamic market conditions, I wanted to take a moment to reflect on my recent trading journey and share some insights with my […]
Market Volatility and Trading Reflections: My Recent Journey Read More »
How EUR/USD Has Reacted to Tariff Announcements and Why I’m Neutral for Now The foreign exchange market is an intricate web of reactions, expectations, and recalibrations, especially when it comes to major currency pairs like EUR/USD. Over the past few tariff announcements, we’ve observed a pattern: the U.S. dollar spikes initially, only to fade as
EUR/USD, Tariffs, and Market Reactions: Why I’m Neutral for Now Read More »
In a notable shift towards a more dovish monetary policy, the Bank of England (BoE) recently reduced its base interest rate by 0.25 percentage points, bringing it down to 4.5%. This decision, marking the third rate cut in six months, reflects the BoE’s growing concerns over the UK’s economic slowdown and its commitment to stimulating
GBP – BOE Dovish view, Go short GBPUSD Read More »
CHF as a Funding Currency: A Deep Dive The Swiss Franc (CHF) has long been regarded as a safe-haven currency, prized for its stability and resilience during periods of economic turmoil. However, beyond its role as a refuge for investors, CHF is also frequently used as a funding currency in global financial markets. But what
2025 – CHF as a funding currency Read More »
I’ve been tracking China’s initiatives, and below are some key developments I’ve gathered. However, this is not an exhaustive list, as both China and the PBOC have implemented many more measures. In recent months, China’s central bank, the People’s Bank of China (PBOC), has implemented a series of measures to stabilize the Chinese yuan (CNY)
View on CNY – And Impact on AUD And NZD Read More »
European Union’s Two Largest Economies: Political and Economic Challenges in Germany and France The European Union’s two economic powerhouses, France and Germany, are grappling with a combination of political instability and economic uncertainty. Both nations face critical junctures that could shape the broader trajectory of the EU’s recovery and reform efforts in 2025. France 1.
Political and Economic Challenges in Germany and France Read More »
Journey of GBP in 2024 Much of 2024 saw GBP emerge as the second-best performing currency after USD. The UK’s economic growth was robust, outpacing the EU’s performance, and the British pound benefited significantly from its carry trade advantage. As a trader, I found this environment highly conducive for shorting EURGBP during upward spikes, consistently
The Curious Case of GBP Read More »
During his first term as president, Donald Trump policies to revitalize the U.S. economy were by deregulation, reducing corporate/individual tax and reducing trade deficits among other things, often using the S&P 500 as a benchmark for success. A stronger economy attracts more investments, creating a positive feedback loop that further strengthens the economy and the
Trump 2.0 – S&P500 Read More »
Two central bank (ECB, SNB) rate decisions and forward views are going to be published on 12th December. Regardless of the forward statements tomorrow I think Euro economy is weak and there are political uncertainties in France and Germany and the Swiss economy being dependent on Euro, we have seen weakness in the Swiss economy
Fundamental view on EUR and CHF currencies Read More »